"Michael", a biopic about Michael Jackson, is officially happening.

I like Beltranos optimism - but:
2 Billion is absolutely unrealistic.
It definitely won’t happen, you can bet money on that.
This is even a maybe for Spider-Man & the new Avengers movies coming this year..

On the other hand, becoming the highest grossing musical biopic (bohemian rhapsody - 910 Million) or the highest grossing biopic in general (Oppenheimer - 975 Million) is very much in play. As such, becoming a billion dollar movie, is also a not too unrealistic possibility.

But therefore everything needs to click: marketing, critics, word of mouth AND especially - fans showing up, drumming up & hyping up the movie BEFORE it’s release AND when the movie is in cinemas.
 
Another take:

The Michael movie cost 155 million to produce. If you ad marketing the bill will probably be at or around 200 million in costs.

Therefore it’s break-even point will be at 350 to 400 million dollars. Then it will be profitable and if it’s profitable it’s not a flop.
Profitability is the first huge step!
If it makes 600 million it’s a success.
Anything above is a huge success.
If it makes a billion one could say that MJ did it once again - MICHAELMANIA like!

(I know I‘m only talking about financial success here. If the movie will be a great piece of art or in the pantheon of movie history will be a whole different story.)
 
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Bobby Oppenheimer stans came out in their droves.
Lmao 🤣

While Nolan is a great director, I’d say it was the whole Barbenheimer thing that boosted those Oppenheimer numbers.

Don’t think it would have made more than 500 million if the hype wasn’t there from the Barbie rivalry.
 
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